Wednesday, April 27, 2011

An Arab View on Arab World Movement Today

Random Tuesday thoughts that won't please many political activists

by Karim Shafei on Tuesday, April 26, 2011 at 6:58pm
Social Justice
Talking about social justice in the context of a minimum wage exclusively without a vision for equal opportunity (education, healthcare, employment and social welfare) is short term. Is like deciding to walk instead of taking your car when you don't even know where you're going.

Religious currents
A simple argument: January 25th was sparked by a population looking for "more" freedom not less. Any approach to a new order that will reduce our freedoms is in direct conflict with the principals of our revolution.  MB's and Salafis; getting the hint?

Labor
The classical definition of labor (factory workers) is obsolete because: 1) A whole new service industry has developed over the past 50 years which includes tourism, medical, information technology, transportation, retail, logistics, etc. 2) Informal workers are a much bigger number than formal workers.

Quotas in the Parliament
A discussion about the quotas of farmers and labor in the parliament is discriminatory. It assumes that these are the only segments in society that "need" representation.  Women, handicaps, Bedouins, fishermen, SME's, etc. are also segments in the society that should be represented in the parliament. Moreover, labor in one industry has a completely different set of requirements than labor in another industry; does a quota system guarantee representation of all segments?
Civil society, unions and syndicates are the only way to guarantee inclusions of interest groups regardless of their size.

Protests
Protests and sit-ins are the last stage of negotiation, when everything else has failed or so I understood. Promoting those two forms as the means to start a negotiation is promoting unwarranted escalation. Whatever happened to organized unions, representation and discussions?

The Economy
In case you haven't noticed, 40% of Egyptians live below poverty lines. Unemployment increased by 2 Million people in the past 3 months. 50% of Egyptians earn their income on daily basis, some haven't worked in weeks. 3 Million Egyptians work in tourism or tourism related jobs, 20% of them have lost their jobs. Around 2 Million Egyptians work in contracting, 50% of those haven't worked in 3 months. We've consumed 20% of our reserves in 3 months. Retail is down by 40% across the board. 10-20% of Small and Medium businesses are shutting down. No, the economy isn't doing all that great, so please stop pretending.

The prosecution process
Here's what I think about the ongoing crack down on corruption https: //www.facebook.com/note.php?note_id=166075730116675 . News of breaking government legally binding contracts on land with various investors is highly celebrated but is nothing but sad, sad, sad news.  Our economy is suffering and scaring off investors, whether local or international, isn't really helping. How far are we going to go with this? It's time we look at a truth and reconciliation committee to expose corruption but give amnesty to corruption that took place in the bygone times.

We make our own dictators
When I look at Mubarak's earlier speeches, I realize that he did not speak like a dictator in 1981. How did he become one? We were the ones who turned him into what he is. We put him on a pedestal and believed that he could do no wrong. Can we please not make a dictator out of our next presidents?

Peace treaty
A discussion about a stand-off with Israel when 30 Million Egyptians live below poverty line and 45 million below literacy line is 100% emotional and 0% logical. Moreover, until Sinai is developed and at least 7 Million Egyptians live there, there is no point in even talking about it.

Minimum Wage
With over 70% of the Egyptian economy being informal, talking about minimum wage without a discussion on the formalization of Small and Medium enterprise will only impact a tiny percentage of the true labor force in Egypt.

Egyptian Media
What a sorry ass tabloid media we have. Even the 2 or 3 semi-descent newspapers we had before the revolution have turned into paparazzi publications, more invested in catchy headlines of gossip and scandals than in promoting the well being of this country. The disgusting lack of creativity, the conspiracy theories and the tabloid content is contributing nothing to the future of Egypt and only fuels existing social tensions and anger. Thank you for a shitty job, we know we can't rely on you for a better country.

Centralized Economy
Seriously, all those people calling for the government to own the elements of production (factories, farms, etc.), please name one successful model anywhere in the world. Have you ever been in a state owned factory? Have you seen the salaries in the public sector? Have you seen the health and safety measures in those mills? Centralization of any economy is the shortest path to marginalization of the natural differences between segments of the society and the crippling of the effectiveness of any institution.  Unless of course you think Abdel Nasser was a good example, then we really have no common ground to start a discussion.

Foreign Labor
The call for banning foreign labor is simply idiotic. Whoever is calling for that, do you really think that companies would rather hire foreigners? Pay them more money and go through more government bureaucracy? Have you stopped for a second and thought about it? Why would anyone decide to hire foreigners? Could know-how have to do with it? Could productivity have to do with it? When I hear that a German company that wanted to invest in a factory to employ 5000 Egyptians was denied 20 permits for its senior staff, I wonder if the decision maker has the minimum IQ required to button a shirt. This is the "if you can't join them, beat the living shit out of them" concept.

The easy targets
Focusing on large formal corporations and businessmen for a crackdown on corruption is extremely naïve. When we attack formal entities that file their financials, pay taxes and abide by the laws of the country and ignore businesses that are extremely corrupt but fly below the radar, it only means that we are after the easy shots. It only means that we go after what is bright and shinning. Some of the most corrupt practices and monopolies in this country are not big known names such as Meat importers, traders of wheat, railroad contractors etc. I'm not for a crackdown on either at this stage but just wanted to say.

Elections
.. are in 4 months.. Nuff said

Sunday, November 14, 2010

大陆的轨迹

2010-11-15

闪烁的哈德逊河               
你无声无息的长曲             
夹杂大洋失落船艘的音讯      
昔日鲜红的河谷坍塌 群鹰远去 

那一刻 仿佛所有人停步       
第八大道深邃的底部          
一注阳光从天顶降临  点亮蓬松的白发
又消失 如从未存在过的形体     
如《纽约时报》编辑室里废弃的标题

而我身后                      
中国的河湖在先后枯涸          
荒原蔓延                       
无休止的爱和泪试图            
把它们重新注满 洗刷干净       
谁说这不值一试?              
此刻我还有转身离开的力气      
你我去各自眷顾各自种下的果树
等待上帝竖起食指             
审阅答题                    

那时我将年华老去  像一只獾  
因啃咬了太多灌木和敌人而下巴松脱
满足而厌倦地等待死亡之吻   
不再抱怨寒冷 不再向所爱者流露尖锐的眼神
在林荫道上  在庙宇和教堂的台阶前

旅人们                            
丢弃行装 静坐相依                 
听大陆唱着不同的歌                 
相聚又分离                         

The Trail of Continents

Glittering Hudson River
Your silent long tunes, mixed
With messages from lost vessels in the ocean
Red valleys have collapsed, their eagles fled

At that moment, as if everyone stopped
In the deep bottom of 8th Ave.
A sun beam shot from heaven, ignited fleecy white hair
Then vanished, like a body that never existed
Or a headline abandoned in New York Times office

Behind me
Rivers and lakes are drying up in China
Wasteland is prevailing
But endless love and tears are trying
To refilled them, to wash them clean
Who said it is not worth trying?
Now I still have the strength to turn around and leave
You and I will take care of the fruit trees we planted, separately
Waiting for God to raise his index finger
Reviewing our answers

I’ll be old then, like a badger
A jaw loosened for too much biting on woods and enemies
Waiting for the kiss of Death, satisfied and weary
No more complains about cold weather; no more sharp looks at the beloved ones
On the boulevard, or on the stairs leading to temples and churches – 

Travelers
Throw away their luggage, sitting down and lean on each other
As continents come together and move apart
Singing different songs

Thursday, November 11, 2010

价值观改变基因

跟Jon在纽约偶遇,一起在SOHO吃大餐。他因给银行家讲课而赚了点外快,我们点了18个牡蛎,一人9个,吃得两人直发傻,到了美国,人很容易变成暴发户。

然后他接着几杯红酒白酒和马提尼讲自己的基因理论。我们熟悉的是“自私基因”理论,也就是人的基因里都有自私冲动,不断繁衍扩张破坏,这最终会带来人类末日。

“但是!我认为,价值观可以改变人类自私基因里的毁灭部分,我们可以通过改变价值观,重塑我们的基因!”他说,“我才不在乎什么商业计划,我的计划是拯救人类!”

原来我一晚上在跟本世纪的耶稣基督在一起狂吃牡蛎来着,乖乖……但是我要承认,他的话确实为人类点亮了新希望!

从今天起,改变价值观,我再也不一口气吃9个牡蛎了……现在躺在床上还觉得恶心……

Wednesday, November 10, 2010

Magical New York

New York proved to be magical again:

1.      I went to Broadhurst Theater and watched a Shakespeare play
“Merchant of Venice” with Al Pacino playing Shylock;
2.      Meryl Streep was sitting in front of me (I watched “Out of Africa”
more than 20 times since college), obviously cheering for her buddy.

But, the most magical story was about the old lady sitting beside me.
She asked what I thought about the show. I honestly answer: it’s very
interesting (I didn’t dare to say “amusing” as well) to see how the
boys and girls speak and move in American style in Shakespeare’s show,
and even more interesting to see that such a show would be interpreted
in a more conventional way here than in London.
The old lady fell silent for a while before she indignantly buttoned
up her coat, “I think this is a GREAT production!”
And there she turned around and never looked at me again. I guess she
doesn’t like the idea that London theaters dare to present Shakespeare
play…

Tuesday, November 9, 2010

The Panther -- Reine Maria Rilke

                                   in the Jardin des Plantes, Paris

From seeing the bars, his seeing is so exhausted
that it no longer holds anything anymore.
To him the world is bars, a hundred thousand
bars, and behind the bars, nothing.

The lithe swinging of that rhythmical easy stride
which circles down to the tiniest hub
is like a dance of energy around a point
in which a great will stands stunned and numb

Only at times the curtains of the pupil rise
without a sound...then a shape enters,
slips through the tightened silence of the shoulders
reaches the heart, and dies

Friday, November 5, 2010

浑身发软

长途飞行、倒时差、来例假、赶工,什么都赶在了一起。

在哥伦比亚大学的讲座上,脑子只有一半在转。美国人倒是不吝赞美,我们的讲座还蛮受欢迎。

昨天结束论坛,回到酒店赶了篇稿,今早起来就软掉了,像根面条一样。要是有人把我从头部拎起来,我的其余部分看起来肯定是无脊椎动物的形状。好不容易打点了力气,从哥大订的奢华酒店换到自己订的中档酒店,一进门就觉得好大落差——大厅乱哄哄,没有门房,屋子像集体宿舍。由奢入简难啊。

现在还是浑身发软,本想出去走走的,躺在床上动不了……

窗外就是曼哈顿的高楼和哈德逊河,我打算花一点时间,爬起来继续奋斗!在纽约的周末怎能躺在床上!

可我还是爬不起来……

Wednesday, October 20, 2010

补充

关于俄罗斯和北约这篇文章,写的时候又想到要重读波普尔的《开放社会及其敌人》。

所谓“北京共识”的输出,低人权+高政治压力的“高效”经济模式在全球市场上的“劣币驱逐良币”,对自然和道德戒律毫无敬畏之心的革命后遗症文化——要已经发展到一定程度的西方文明与之和平共存,可以,但要免除受其“污染”的忧惧,怎么可能。过去,凭借物质文明还信心十足的西方,如今已不再享有“不证自明”的地位——一个腐败的中国官员到了美国,可以对那里的建筑、消费乃至中产阶级捉襟见肘的生活横加耻笑。不同的文明之间又要再次重新开始竞赛,也许还需要半个世纪再决胜负,也许只需要5年10年。未来笼罩在中国城市上空厚厚的烟霾里。